NASA meteorologists are increasingly convinced that the warming phenomenon of the Pacific Ocean will shortly produce a rainy winter in California that alleviates the drought.
Forecasters said in a report that the already powerful El Niño has a 95% chance of lasting through the winter before weakening in the spring.
"This is the closest you're going to get to anything safe," said Bill Patzert, a meteorologist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, who called this El Niño "too big to fail."
However, the phenomenon could also provoke a disaster of similar proportions to those that occurred in the region in the late 1990s.
"El Niño looks like our savior," but if floods and landslides show up, this "is not going to look like the great wet hope that rides across the landscape on a white horse," said Patzert.
This year's boy could become the second strongest since records are kept. That would make it weaker than the 1997-1998 El Niño, but more powerful than the 1982-1983 El Niño.
The storms attributed to El Niño in 1997-1998 killed at least 17 people, wiped out strawberry and artichoke crops, displaced houses on the hills and flooded highways. The damage was estimated at more than 500 million dollars.
The 1982-1983 storms caused 36 deaths, damaged or destroyed more than 7,900 homes and generated $ 1.2 billion in losses, according to the weather service.
The Epoch Times